Zachary Labe is a Cornell student majoring in atmospheric sciences who runs Cornell Weather.
Ithaca, N.Y. – Above-average temperatures will be making a return to central New York State, including the Ithaca area, as we move into the beginning of October.
While temperatures for the entire month of September have averaged 1.1 F above normal here in Ithaca, the last 8 days have been well below normal.
According to the Game Farm Road Weather Station, which is maintained by Cornell’s Earth and Atmospheric Science Department, the coldest temperature occurred Friday morning with a low of 32F. The city’s average first freeze date is October 5; therefore we were several weeks earlier than normal.
However, weather pattern changes are likely across the United States. An upper level ridge associated with a strong high pressure will move overhead by the end of this current week allowing for winds to increase out of the south.
Warmer air will begin to flood into the region as temperatures increase into the upper 70s for high temperatures. The average high temperature for this time of year is approximately 68F.
This pattern will likely continue for the foreseeable future and through early to mid-October. The NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s latest 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks conclude that there is a 70-80% probability of above normal temperatures during those time periods.
For more information:
Northeast Regional Climate Center… http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/
NOAA Climate Prediction Center… http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/